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BUDGET STATEMENT 2008

INTRODUCTION

Mr. Speaker, this sixth Budget of this People’s National Movement administration is being delivered against the backdrop of a vibrant and growing economy.

I am pleased to have the opportunity to present to this Honourable House and

indeed to the national community, a comprehensive account of our stewardship over

the past five years, outlining our many successes and the challenges that we have

faced.

Mr. Speaker, as we intend to be in Government for the next five years, I also

propose to couch the Budget for fiscal year 2008 in the context of a longer term plan,

which in essence represents yet another phase in our journey towards Vision 2020.

It is against this background that the theme of this year’s Budget Presentation is

“Vision 2020: Determined to Reach our Goal”.

Honourable Members, the completion of the documents laid in this Honourable

House today could not have been possible without the commitment, enthusiasm and

the hard work and sacrifice of the many public officers, especially those in the

Ministry of Finance, who have worked long and tirelessly on preparing these

documents.

I want to let them know that their efforts are greatly appreciated. I would also like to

thank my Cabinet colleagues, and all the individuals and organizations who have

contributed to the process which resulted in the preparation of these documents.

Mr. Speaker, in order to put our record of performance into its proper perspective we

must remind our citizens of the Government’s vision for Trinidad and Tobago and

the strategy that will get us there.

OUR VISION

Mr. Speaker, when this PNM administration assumed office in 2001, we began work

on the transformation of this country into a developed nation in the shortest possible

time but certainly by the year 2020.

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The driving force behind this transformation is our enduring passion and desire to

bring sustained prosperity and the requisite higher quality of life to every individual,

family and community across the country.

The vision that emerged – VISION 2020 -- was founded on five developmental

pillars: Developing Innovative People; Nurturing a Caring Society; Enabling

Competitive Business; Investing in Sound Infrastructure and the Environment; and

Promoting Effective Government.

Vision 2020 acknowledges that Trinidad and Tobago is in a situation of

unprecedented opportunity and challenge. It recognizes, however, that economic

prosperity does not depend solely on physical endowments or proximity to markets.

Rather, it is based on the full awareness that in today’s global environment, the most

successful countries are those that have succeeded in harnessing and nurturing the

creativity, ingenuity and inventiveness of their people, something to which we aspire.

In that sense Mr. Speaker, ours is more than an economic vision. In particular, it

incorporates the nurturing of a caring society; it envisages that the foundation of our

society is based on the creation of strong families with high moral and ethical values;

that all our citizens have access to adequate and affordable housing and first class

health care that enable them to live healthy lifestyles; and that we put in place new

systems to support the most vulnerable in our society.

Over the last six years we have worked hard in pursuit of this vision and we have

had many notable successes. I would now like to share with you some of our major

accomplishments.

PERFORMANCE OVER THE PERIOD 2002-2007

Mr. Speaker, over the period 2002-2006, our economy grew at a high rate and real

GDP of 9.7 percent per year, a growth performance which ranks among the highest

in the world. This rapid rate of growth led to a doubling of the economy over the past

six years from $55 billion in 2001 to $114.5 billion in 2006 and an increase in per

capita income from US$7,100 in 2002 to US$14,790 in 2006.

And while the energy sector was the main driver of the economic expansion, the

non-energy sector surpassed expectations, increasing at an average annual rate of

6 percent over the period.

As a result of the boom in economic activity, an average of approximately 14,400

new jobs were created annually, resulting in a reduction in the unemployment rate

from 11.7 percent in 2001 to 5 percent at the end of 2006, the lowest in our nation’s

history. Mr. Speaker, this has resulted in labor shortages in several sectors and

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private sector industries now satisfy some of their requirements by importing labor

supported by Government’s new immigration policy.

Mr. Speaker, anyone who needs a job today can find one, a situation totally different

to six short years ago. It is therefore no wonder then that the official data shows a

halving of the poverty rate from 35 percent in 1990 to 16.7 percent by 2006.

Several other macro-economic indicators, point to solid macro-economic

management.

Mr. Speaker, Trinidad and Tobago has been the recipient of significant amounts of

Foreign Direct Investment, amounting to close to US$6 billion over the past five

years. We have maintained overall fiscal surpluses and in so doing we have

reduced both our public and external debt.

Public debt has been lowered from over 60 percent of GDP to 28 percent of GDP

currently, while external debt which was 17 percent of GDP in 2001 is now at 5

percent of GDP.

Our financial system remains robust and resilient and has emerged as the leader in

the region; with oil and gas prices remaining buoyant for most of the period we have

been able to maintain stability in the exchange rate and increase our foreign

exchange reserves to approximately US$6.5 billion, excluding the Heritage and

Stabilisation Fund.

Mr. Speaker, we recognise that we must plan for future uncertainties and therefore

we have formalized the Heritage and Stabilization Fund in law.

We have, and in the five year period have put aside substantial savings for our

children’s future such that at end of August this year the Fund will be $10.9 billion,

compared with $1.015 billion when we took office in 2001.

However, Honourable Members our achievements are demonstrated not only in the

macro-economic indicators but in the improvement in the quality of our citizens’

lives. Let me provide some examples:

Tax Relief

When we assumed office, Corporation Tax was 35 percent while Individual Tax

ranged from 28 percent to 35 percent.

Today we have unified Corporation and Individual Taxes at a flat rate of 25 percent

and raised the level of personal allowances from $25,000 to $60,000. Mr. Speaker,

this latter measure removed an additional 300,000 individuals from the tax net.

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Education

Mr. Speaker over the past five years, one of our most successful interventions has

been in the area of education.

We are in an advanced stage of developing and implementing a world class system

of seamless education, stretching from Early Childhood Care and Education (ECCE)

through to tertiary level; and it is all free of charge.

Our early childhood education programme is now on full steam; so far seven early

childhood centres have been completed and it is expected that by the end of

December 2007 twenty three of these high quality centres will be operational.

At the tertiary level, the crowning achievement of this Government, Mr. Speaker,

was the establishment of the University of Trinidad and Tobago (UTT) in 2004.

Since then, UTT has been expanded to incorporate several affiliated tertiary and

post-secondary institutions.

Currently UTT’s mandate is inter alia to help address the country’s need for

scientists, technicians and researchers while the affiliated institutions are to provide

tertiary training in areas such as nursing, health sciences, foreign languages and the

performing and creative arts.

Mr. Speaker, we introduced free tertiary education at the undergraduate level in

2005. This is applicable not only to UWI and UTT and its affiliates, but to all

accredited private institutions in Trinidad and Tobago. Post graduate students are

eligible for up to 50 percent of tuition costs as well as for concessionary loans under

the Higher Education Loan Programme (HELP).

As a result of the increased availability and greater government financial support,

enrollment in post-secondary and tertiary institutions increased from 15,000 in 2001

to over 45,000 at present.

Mr. Speaker, our program for the computerization of all primary schools is in full

train. So far, 340 schools are at different stages of completion.

We have de-shifted 13 junior secondary schools and converted them to full day

secondary schools. Concomitantly we have converted all senior secondary schools

to 7-year secondary schools. The up-shot of this Mr. Speaker, is that an additional

11,050 secondary schools students now enjoy full-day schooling.

We have paid careful attention to the provision of special education. In this fiscal

year `alone, the Government upgraded the physical facilities of 9 public special

schools. We have also agreed to the payment of school fees for students of 6

registered private special schools.

Over the six-year period, the Government has spent approximately $615 million on

the construction of schools, 42 have been completed, including 7 Early Childhood

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Care and Education (ECCE) centres and about 30, including 16 ECCE centres, are

in progress.

In the six-year period, the Government also undertook some 1,000 school repair

projects at a cost of $380 million.

Housing

Mr. Speaker, this Honourable House would recall that, for many years, access to

quality affordable housing was identified as a priority issue for national development.

The Government has responded with great urgency and with innovative approaches

to meet this critical need.

In the past six years, the Government has constructed 26,000 single and multi-family

housing units on greenfield sites and on vacant sites in existing housing units.

Today an individual earning $1,440 per month can access a mortgage loan with 100

percent financing for 25 years at a 2 percent interest rate. This was not available

just six short years ago.

In government-housing programmes persons 50 years and over can now get a

long term mortgage since the liability could be transferred to their estate in the

event of their death.

For individuals who are financially unable to service a mortgage, there is a rent-toown

programme, in which, over time, part of the rental payments could be applied

as a deposit towards the purchase of the property.

Grant/subsidy programmes are also available to qualified homeowners to help

meet the cost of repairs.

Mr. Speaker, we also regularized several squatting settlements and our squatter

relocation programme is well underway in Sangre Grande and San Fernando. A

major goal of the Government is to eliminate the incidence of squatting completely.

Health

Mr. Speaker, in Health we have made significant strides towards the building of a

client-centered system, with a focus on primary health care.

The center-piece of our strategy is the Chronic Disease Assistance Program (CDAP)

through which citizens are provided medical drugs free of charge to treat several

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common ailments, including diabetes, hypertension, cardiac disease, depression,

arthritis, glaucoma, asthma and enlarged prostate.

Mr. Speaker, on a regular basis 300,000 of our citizens are benefiting from the

programme, which is being administered through 250 pharmacies located

throughout the country.

We have significantly reduced the waiting lists for most surgeries and have

succeeded in reducing deaths caused by HIV/AIDS by about one-half.

We have built and refurbished several primary health care facilities and have

installed new technology and equipment throughout the health system.

Mr. Speaker, when this administration entered office there was a significant backlog

and long waiting times for elective surgeries in the public sector. There were some

15,000 persons waiting for surgeries, in some instances for as much as 10 years.

To date, we have completed over 12,000 surgical procedures achieving a significant

reduction in the various waiting lists. This represents 12,000 persons whose lives

have been dramatically improved.

We have increased the number of cardiac by-pass surgeries, from 10 procedures

every month to 20 procedures per month.

The entire public health sector is now doing 30,000 surgical procedures annually.

That is more than 15, 000 more than when we came into office.

Training

Mr. Speaker, reflecting our strong conviction that a highly-skilled labor force is the

key to our economic transformation and to the provision of high-quality sustainable

jobs, my Government has allocated significant resources to training. Consequently,

there is now greater access to technical and vocational education than ever before.

Over 6,000 persons have benefited from the Help Youth Prepare for Employment

Programme (HYPE); close to 31,000 in the Youth Training and Employment

Partnership Programme (YTEPP); over 37,000 in on-the-job training; over 7,000 in

the Youth Apprenticeship Programme in Agriculture (YAPA) and almost 12,000 in

the Multi-skills Sector training programme (MUST). Some 6,000 individuals,

including 80 prison inmates, have benefited from retraining programmes.

The Laventille Technology and Continuing Education Centre, established in

November 2004, has graduated over 3,000 persons with marketable skills. A similar

center in Pleasantville which will service San Fernando and surrounding areas is to

be opened shortly.

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Centers are also earmarked for Chaguanas, Point Fortin, Mayaro and Diego Martin.

Income Support and Social Protection

In 2002, Mr. Speaker, the minimum old age pension, now called the Senior Citizens

Grant was $800 per month.

Today, the minimum Senior Citizens’ grant is $1,350. In addition, senior citizens

have access to free medical care and drugs, free bus passes and housing

assistance.

A Food Debit Card has been introduced to help our needy citizens cope with the

world-wide phenomenon of high food prices.

This arrangement provides a grant of $300, $400 or $500 for relevant vulnerable

families of 3, 4 or 5 and over persons.

Mr. Speaker, in 2001, the National Minimum Wage was $7.00 per hour. This was

increased to $8.00 per hour as at January 16th, 2003. On March 31st, 2005 this rate

was again increased to $9.00 per hour. I will say more about the minimum wage

later.

National Security

Mr. Speaker, we have taken significant steps to strengthen our capacity to address

our worrisome crime and security situation on a sustainable basis.

There have been early successes but the full impact of our comprehensive

methodical approach will be seen over time.

In this context the Government has:

· Introduced legislation to improve the management of the Police Service and

law enforcement generally;

· enhanced detection and forensic capabilities;

· provided greater mobility and modern communication facilities;

· established constant radar surveillance of our entire coast line. This will

considerably strengthen our hand in dealing with the illegal drug trade which

produces the majority of violent crime in this country;

· upgraded and constructed 65 police stations;

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· provided the opportunity for involvement of the citizenry in the battle against

crime through the 555 Anticrime Initiative;

· reorganized the Anti-Kidnapping Unit;

· established the Special Anti-Crime Unit of Trinidad and Tobago (SAUTT),

which involved the recruitment of officers from the United Kingdom; and

· established an Aerial Surveillance System.

Infrastructure

Mr. Speaker, in infrastructure we doubled the fleet of the Public Transport Service

Corporation, wound up the loss making BWIA West Indies Airways and introduced a

streamlined Caribbean Airlines on more viable routes.

We also implemented a most reliable service on the Seabridge to Tobago which has

greatly facilitated and expanded travel between the islands. Final consideration of

the Airbridge is not yet complete.

Mr. Speaker, we implemented the National Highways Programme which in the last

six years rehabilitated approximately 110 kilometres of our road network and

commenced the upgrade and extension of several of our major highways and main

roads.

Mr. Speaker, the Street Lighting Programme, which started in September 2005, has

resulted in the illumination of 80 kilometres of main roads and highways. At the end

of July this year 111,320 Street Lamps have been installed either as new

installations or as an upgrade of existing facilities.

Mr. Speaker, a more comprehensive breakdown of the performance of the

Government since assuming office is presented in a document laid in this

Honourable House as part of the Budget package entitled “Government at your

Service: Highlights of Achievements 2002-2007”.

Mr. Speaker did I hear someone say that “performance beats old talk every time”?

ACCOUNTING FOR THE PETRO-DOLLAR

Mr. Speaker, as part of the accounting for our stewardship, permit me to give a brief

summary of the Government’s revenue and expenditure developments over the last

six years.

I will like, Mr. Speaker, to focus on how we spent the resources entrusted to us. In

the process, I will also like to respond to the many voices that accuse the

government of over-spending and of the injudicious use of the taxpayers’ money.

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In the six year period ending this fiscal year 2007, the Government collected

revenues amounting to $162.7 billion, of which $69.7 billion was derived from the

energy sector and $93 billion came from the rest of the economy.

The high level of energy tax collections reflected buoyant oil and gas prices and the

Government’s successful efforts at oil and gas tax reform, which increased the

country’s tax take from any windfall revenues received by the companies.

Mr. Speaker, the revenue loss from the non-energy tax reform measures was more

than offset by the revenue impact from rapid economic growth and by major

improvements in tax administration. This demonstrated Mr. Speaker, the

correctness of this bold policy initiative.

Over the six year period recurrent expenditure amounted to $125 billion of which the

main items were:

· Wages and salaries, including two rounds of salary adjustments to bring the

salaries of civil servants more in line with the private sector and to encourage

higher productivity, amounted to $29.2 billion;

· Goods and services like medicines, school books, computers, materials and

supplies, amounted to $17.1 billion;

· Interest payments on local and foreign debt were $14.9 billion;

· Subsidies amounted to $6.1 billion. These covered subsidies on petroleum

products to keep down the cost of gasoline ($3.9 billion and the subsidization

of the sea and air bridge to Tobago ($1 billion);

· Transfers to educational institutions, including UWI, UTT, government

secondary schools, GATE, amounted to $5.3 billion;

· Transfers to households, including public officers pensions, social security

grants, social assistance, disability grants amounted to $15.5 billion;

· Current Transfers to State Enterprises and Statutory Bodies, amounted $18.8

billion. The largest recipients were BWIA and CARONI in respect of State

Enterprises, and WASA, Local Government Bodies and Airport Authority in

respect of the Statutory Bodies;

· Current Transfers to the Tobago House of Assembly amounted to $5 billion;

· The Unemployment Relief Program utilised a total of $1.5 billion; and

· The Community-based Environmental Protection and Enhancement

Programme (CEPEP) - $1 billion.

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On the Capital Account, the three major expenditure items were transfers to the

Heritage and Stabilization Fund $9.5 billion, which in effect is an increase in savings,

the Public Sector Investment Programme $12.9 billion and the Infrastructure

Development Fund $6.9 billion. There was also an increase in Government’s

deposits at the Central Bank of $7 billion.

Honourable Members would recall that in 2005, in the face of bureaucratic

bottlenecks that hampered the implementation of the public sector investment

programme, the Government established a number of special purpose companies to

manage a number of public sector projects to be executed by private contractors.

While there were initial delays in operationalizing some of these companies, the new

modality has resulted in a significant increase in the implementation rate of the

PSIP. The funding for the projects implemented by the special purpose companies is

channeled through the Infrastructure Development Fund (IDF).

Mr. Speaker, if you disaggregate our spending you would see that out of total current

expenditure of approximately $125 billion, $17.5 billion, about 14.0 percent of our

revenues was spent on poverty alleviation programmes, including URP.

Mr. Speaker, some of our friends on the opposite side would want us to abandon

these programmes because they allege that helping the downtrodden and disadvantaged

contributes to the creation of a dependency syndrome. Mr. Speaker, we

approach this problem differently and that is why nurturing a caring society is one of

our major developmental priorities. It’s a love thing.

Our philosophy is that the able-bodied will be required to work or prepare for work in

exchange for temporary income support. However, outright support will be provided

to those among the poor that are incapacitated, sick or to those unable to work such

as the elderly, the differently-abled and the destitute.

Mr. Speaker, this is, in summary how the revenues were spent – to meet our

statutory commitments; to provide subsidies to keep costs of certain basic goods

and services down; to meet operating deficits of some loss making public

enterprises and to finance infrastructural investments, and a significant part was

saved in the Heritage and Stabilization Fund (HSF).

Mr. Speaker, several commentators – some well-meaning – have sought to chastise

the Government for its spending. Part of the problem is that while they measure

government spending against theoretical benchmarks and spurious indicators of

absorptive capacity, we tend to give equal or greater weight to the impact of the

spending on people’s lives.

Mr. Speaker, for this Government, the object of our expenditure programme is to

improve the quality of life of the citizens of Trinidad and Tobago.

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Thus, for example, when we spend $650 million to electrify all areas of the country

through our street lighting programme it is not that we like to engage in large areas

of expenditure, as some will say; nor is it solely a question of electricity; it is that we

wish to provide a higher level of security for our citizens so that they enjoy a better

quality of life.

When the Government embarks on the construction of high rise buildings on the Port

of Spain Port, it is not that we see development only in terms of large buildings, as

our detractors are wont to say, it is that we are providing better office

accommodation for the public sector so that public sector employees will work in

some of the best conditions that the country can offer so as to encourage higher

levels of productivity.

This will, of course result in better service to the public and a better quality of life for

those persons who receive the services.

Mr. Speaker, I cannot over-emphasize that it is about people and about improving

their standard of living.

CHALLENGES

Honourable Members, I would like to concede that we have faced some challenges

in the implementation of our programme.

Some of these challenges are the inevitable result of our rapid rate of growth; we

have also had problems resulting from the infrastructural bottlenecks from shortages

of skilled manpower, and include managerial deficiencies.

But Mr. Speaker, we have been addressing these problems with increasing degrees

of success.

For example, in the face of rapid growth and declining spare capacity inflation rose

to 10 percent in October 2006. As a result of tighter demand policies and supply-side

interventions the rate has been reduced to 7.3 percent as at June 2007.

The target announced in the 2007 budget was to reduce inflation to 7 percent by end

2007 and to 5 percent thereafter.

Mr. Speaker, crime has also posed a major challenge, affecting the security of

families and the quality of life.

The Government has introduced a whole range of measures to deal with the crime

upsurge and they are beginning to have effect as indicated in the significant decline

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in the number of kidnappings for ransom and a 22.2 percent fall in the number of

murders over last year’s figure.

However, Mr. Speaker, the level of crime is still unacceptably high and the

Government is committed to intensify efforts to eliminate this scourge from our

society.

Some of the other challenges that we are currently addressing include the

transportation bottlenecks; expanding the road network, port congestion; the

resuscitation of the domestic agricultural sector; and the provision of water for all our

citizens.

Each of these areas will be addressed when the plans for fiscal year 2008 and

beyond are outlined.

PURSUING OUR VISION WITH DETERMINATION

Mr. Speaker, our considerable achievements over the past five years provide a solid

forum, from which we could accelerate our march towards Vision 2020.

We are determined to learn from experience; to persevere with the approaches that

have served us well and to find innovative solutions to the bottlenecks and obstacles

that we have faced.

Mr. Speaker, as we intend to be in government for many years to come our budget

for fiscal year 2008 is couched within a medium term framework that represents the

second five year span on our longer term journey. It is certainly not an election

budget as some of our critics anticipate.

No, Mr. Speaker, the welfare of the citizens of Trinidad and Tobago is too important

to be left to the vagaries of electoral politics.

Rather, the measures and policies that are being proposed in the Budget are

consistent with and are all designed to bring us closer to our Vision 2020 goal.

PRIORITIES FOR FISCAL YEAR 2008 AND BEYOND

Mr. Speaker, the main priorities that we have set ourselves for fiscal year 2008 are

to:

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